Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 987.033390 1111.589386 1247.421918 1406.809849 1589.043351 1791.273448 2033.218043
2026-01-11 794.796498 963.606085 1163.266176 1417.958734 1735.811776 2121.466498 2627.952252
2026-01-18 685.393426 872.925816 1107.173465 1423.502827 1842.920377 2384.660781 3145.013437
2026-01-25 619.510719 821.298236 1084.862288 1457.943230 1978.265324 2686.786201 3739.317744
2026-02-01 565.429657 775.624573 1060.850764 1481.327485 2094.118189 2968.141156 4333.605051
2026-02-08 518.683368 733.124143 1034.057899 1493.968201 2191.111708 3227.870846 4923.544394
2026-02-15 480.784558 698.204154 1012.765673 1509.592436 2290.436106 3497.509772 5558.176317
2026-02-22 451.993947 673.091389 1002.184551 1538.243105 2409.975152 3807.999201 6294.577746
2026-03-01 411.741892 626.560453 954.245200 1502.504448 2421.047317 3942.529473 6748.857192
2026-03-08 374.015893 580.431765 902.399311 1454.448876 2405.016795 4027.273823 7122.387779
2026-03-15 341.139810 539.143177 854.463327 1407.634806 2384.948227 4100.547089 7480.641637
2026-03-22 329.498012 531.156918 859.640732 1450.530397 2524.440251 4469.325457 8440.753569
2026-03-29 313.431862 514.964143 850.470279 1468.816088 2623.996692 4780.897073 9343.321182
2026-04-05 297.082397 497.016208 836.845546 1477.888000 2707.632773 5072.588192 10249.968688
2026-04-12 281.802671 479.602685 822.497820 1483.818457 2785.082461 5359.776947 11187.199893
2026-04-19 272.416120 471.759842 824.328087 1519.873244 2924.602872 5786.772789 12492.807031
2026-04-26 262.083201 461.346646 820.493400 1544.360454 3042.952202 6183.201091 13789.684081
2026-05-03 251.037994 448.749190 811.498083 1557.598007 3139.006812 6542.738087 15055.344150
2026-05-10 241.232615 437.706806 804.484645 1573.960730 3243.018351 6931.498433 16453.529604
2026-05-17 233.755906 430.505106 804.212687 1603.967752 3379.553044 7409.773271 18155.809077
2026-05-24 219.129220 408.473223 773.213568 1566.537620 3361.732870 7527.046932 18934.208530
2026-05-31 204.245296 384.967893 737.628059 1516.214569 3309.352523 7555.593022 19477.751087
2026-06-07 190.618391 363.113090 703.914241 1467.199464 3255.207724 7573.713914 19996.241282